Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$8
Bid / Ask
2% / 96%
Spread
94.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "James Harden: Points O/U 20.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 94.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "James Harden: Points O/U 20.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798754
This event has 3 active outcome markets. James Harden: Points O/U 20.5: 53%, James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5: 50%, James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5: 49%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +5.5pp
47% → 52%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
53% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this