Markets/Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5

Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 12:24 AM UTC

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

59%YES

41%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

56% / 62%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.5pp

confidence50%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

59% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 59%99%

Buy YES@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1709993

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