ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5
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Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

24%YES
76%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$17

Expert Signal

24%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1841176

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5: 24%, Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5: 1%, Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~75%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-12.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

37% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Trough probability

1% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -26.0pp

27% → 1%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

25% YES (+24.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 24%99%
Buy YES@ 24¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 76¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this