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Markets/Kash Patel out by April 30?
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Kash Patel out by April 30?

Market Price

12%YES
88%NO
Vol 24h$71K
Liquidity$25K
Bid / Ask12% / 12%
Spread0.60pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026
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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

3 deadline markets. Combined YES = 154% — 54pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

by December 31

Kash Patel out by December 31

81%
by June 30

Kash Patel out by June 30

61%

by April 30

Kash Patel out by April 30

12%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-16.1pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kash Patel out by April 30?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $71K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-26). "Kash Patel out by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1838758