Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
53% / 58%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
56%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
29% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Trough probability
18% YES — lowest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +31.0pp
21% → 52%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
52% YES (+31.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688595
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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