ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5
Share on X

Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$21

Bid / Ask

8% / 100%

Spread

91.90pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 91.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1841590

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5: 99%, Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 98%, Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5: 98%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+18.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +17.5pp

33% → 50%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

50% YES (+17.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.4%
½ Kelly1.2%
Buy NO@ 2¢

-2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this