ForecastMind
Markets/Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
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Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
44%NO

Volume 24h

$26K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

50% / 52%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Current

51% YES (-3.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697213