ForecastMind
Markets/Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5
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Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$64K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

47% / 49%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

48% YES (-3.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $64K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1700207