ForecastMind
Markets/Kings vs. Raptors
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Kings vs. Raptors

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

16%YES
85%NO

Volume 24h

$492K

Liquidity

$268K

Bid / Ask

15% / 16%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Raptors" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $492K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Kings vs. Raptors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1730079

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5: 50%, Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5: 48%, Kings vs. Raptors: 16%.

Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
50%
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5
48%

Kings vs. Raptors

16%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

14% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

14% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 16%99%
Buy YES@ 16¢
Edge

+3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 85¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this