Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Knicks vs. Hawks
Closed April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.0M
Liquidity
$323K
Bid / Ask
53% / 54%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Hawks" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Knicks vs. Hawks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1806928
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Knicks vs. Hawks: 55%, Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5: 8%, Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~16%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
54%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +6.0pp
48% → 54%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
54% YES (+6.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this