ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
Share on X

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5

Closed April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

7%YES
94%NO

Volume 24h

$230K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

4% / 6%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

7%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $230K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891180

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Knicks vs. Hawks: 56%, Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5: 7%, Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~15%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

51% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 7%99%
Buy YES@ 7¢
Edge

+7.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 94¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+7.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this