ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Knicks vs. Nets
Share on X

Knicks vs. Nets

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
7%NO

Volume 24h

$1.9M

Liquidity

$63K

Bid / Ask

88% / 89%

Spread

0.70pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-14.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

95% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Biggest move: -10.0pp

91% → 81%

Mar 21, 2026

Current

81% YES (-10.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 7¢
Edge

+3.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO+3.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Nets" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.9M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Knicks vs. Nets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1587788