ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Knicks vs. Rockets
Share on X

Knicks vs. Rockets

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

25%YES
76%NO

Volume 24h

$1.3M

Liquidity

$124K

Bid / Ask

24% / 25%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

25%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Rockets" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Knicks vs. Rockets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716626

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5: 70%, Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5: 70%, Knicks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 112.5: 68%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

51% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 25%99%
Buy YES@ 25¢
Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 76¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this