ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Knicks vs. Thunder
Share on X

Knicks vs. Thunder

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$3.4M

Liquidity

$933K

Bid / Ask

30% / 31%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+4.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

28% YES (+5.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Thunder" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.4M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Knicks vs. Thunder." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691455