ForecastMind
Markets/Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5
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Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
83%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

8% / 27%

Spread

19.00pp

Expert Signal

18%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

19% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

17% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢
Edge

+2.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 83¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 19.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1712535