ForecastMind
Markets/Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5
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Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

55%YES
45%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$59K

Bid / Ask

54% / 56%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Current

55% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 55%99%
Buy YES@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659647