Markets/Lakers vs. Pistons

Lakers vs. Pistons

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 06:04 AM UTC

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES

45%NO

Volume 24h

$1.2M

Liquidity

$301K

Bid / Ask

55% / 56%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 56%99%

Buy YES@ 56¢

Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%

½ Kelly0.6%

Buy NO@ 44¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Pistons" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Lakers vs. Pistons." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1627628

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