ForecastMind
Markets/Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5
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Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$326K

Liquidity

$64K

Bid / Ask

49% / 51%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Lakers vs. Pistons

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

50% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 52¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $326K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688958