Lakers vs. Warriors
Closes April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$908K
Liquidity
$596K
Bid / Ask
45% / 46%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Warriors" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $908K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Lakers vs. Warriors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1845085
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5: 50%, Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5: 47%, Lakers vs. Warriors: 46%.
Lakers vs. Warriors
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
45% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this