ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5
Share on X

Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5

Closed April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$70K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

33% / 47%

Spread

14.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $70K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 14.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1930497

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline: 73%, Lakers vs. Warriors: 63%, Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5: 50%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

53% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢
Edge

+11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 96¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+11.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this