Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5
Closes April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$69K
Liquidity
$38K
Bid / Ask
41% / 42%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
42%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $69K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1923849
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5: 50%, Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5: 47%, Lakers vs. Warriors: 46%.
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
40% YES — lowest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
42% YES (+1.5pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this