ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5
Share on X

LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

37%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$42

Bid / Ask

7% / 93%

Spread

86.00pp

Expert Signal

37%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 86.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786081

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5: 100%, LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5: 68%, LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5: 51%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

62% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +17.0pp

63% → 80%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

80% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

67% YES (-12.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 37%99%
Buy YES@ 37¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 64¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this