ForecastMind
Markets/Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5
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Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$119K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-30.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

31% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: -30.9pp

31% → 0%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1725771