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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

Closed March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES

50%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-5.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

59% → 51%

Mar 21, 2026

Current

50% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 50%99%

Buy YES@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1664962

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