LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

FM Estimate

99%

Vol 24h$119K

Liquidity$0

ClosedMay 5, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Volume traded

$119K

24h total

Probability During Game · 30 days

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Price History

+0.0pp

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $119K has been traded. The market closes on May 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2138704