Markets/LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Market Price

0%YES

100%NO

Vol 24h$809K

Liquidity$315K

ClosesMay 3, 2026

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

4 deadline markets. Market implies ~55% chance none resolve YES.

LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Roun

LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

45%

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winn

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

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LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK R

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1

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Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-78.4pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $809K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on May 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2084228