Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Closed March 20, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1000K
Liquidity
$432K
Expert Signal
1%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
31% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 20, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 20, 2026
Biggest move: -50.5pp
51% → 0%
Mar 20, 2026
Peak probability
51% YES — highest in period
Mar 20, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1000K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on March 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1653635
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Venue Divergence
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Event Cluster
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