ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Share on X

LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$620K

Liquidity

$736K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $620K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1702442

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winne: 100%, LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Ro: 100%, LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winne: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+52.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +52.5pp

48% → 100%

Apr 4, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 4, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this