LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$190K

Liquidity$65K

Bid / Ask100% / —

ClosedApr 24, 2026

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner: 100%, LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner: 100%, Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5: 0%.

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

100%

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

100%

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+28.5pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $190K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-24). "LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2056258