ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$279K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

99% / 100%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+37.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

63% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: +39.5pp

61% → 100%

Mar 29, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $279K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1761025