ForecastMind
Markets/Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds

Closes April 17, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$604K

Liquidity

$996K

Bid / Ask

38% / 39%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $604K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1860409

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: L: 47%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9: 43%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: 39%.

there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles
47%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
43%

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds

39%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Current

40% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this