Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5

Market Price

0%YES

100%NO

Vol 24h$10K

Liquidity$252K

ClosedMay 3, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

Market resolved

Peak probability

52%

Highest YES during game

Price swing

51pp

High–low range

Volume traded

$10K

24h total

Liquidity

$252K

Market depth

Probability During Game · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-51.4pp

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets12 markets

12 deadline markets. Combined YES = 500% — 400pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

100%

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

100%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals:

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5

—

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on May 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2141744