Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5
Closed March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$3
Bid / Ask
2% / 56%
Spread
54.00pp
Expert Signal
29%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
43%
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: -15.5pp
45% → 29%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
29% YES (-15.5pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5" at 29% YES / 71% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 29%. The bid-ask spread is 54.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 29%, NO 71%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688524
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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