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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5
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Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$38

Bid / Ask

9% / 97%

Spread

88.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 88.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798751

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5: 53%, Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5: 53%, Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5: 51%.

Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5

53%
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5
53%
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5
51%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +21.0pp

50% → 71%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

72% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

52% YES (-17.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this