Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5
Closes March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
26% / 42%
Spread
16.00pp
Expert Signal
32%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
33% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
33% YES (-1.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1740006
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