Macron out by June 30, 2026?
FM Estimate
2%Market Price
2%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 2 active outcome markets. June 30: 6%, June 30, 2026: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~92%.
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Macron out by June 30, 2026?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Macron out by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/597964