Magic vs. Celtics
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.0M
Liquidity
$1.2M
Bid / Ask
84% / 85%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
85%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Magic vs. Celtics." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891029
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Celtics: 85%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5: 61%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5: 58%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
85% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
85% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this