ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5
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Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

58%YES
42%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

60% / 62%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5" at 58% YES / 42% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 58%, NO 42%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1949522

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Celtics: 85%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5: 62%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5: 58%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+50.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +27.5pp

52% → 80%

Apr 13, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 13, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 58%99%
Buy YES@ 58¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 42¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this