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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
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Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$25

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1958706

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Celtics: 85%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5: 62%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5: 59%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+25.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Apr 12, 2026

Trough probability

47% YES — lowest in period

Apr 12, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

47%

Apr 12, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

80%

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: +33.5pp

47% → 80%

Apr 13, 2026

Current

80% YES (+33.5pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 47%99%
Buy YES@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this