ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
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Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

32%YES
68%NO

Volume 24h

$52K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

47% / 48%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $52K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1962003

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+25.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 12, 2026

Trough probability

41% YES — lowest in period

Apr 12, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Apr 12, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

77%

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: +36.0pp

41% → 77%

Apr 13, 2026

Current

77% YES (+36.0pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 32%99%
Buy YES@ 32¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 68¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this