Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Magic vs. Mavericks
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$937K
Liquidity
$195K
Bid / Ask
91% / 92%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
92%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Mavericks" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $937K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 92%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Magic vs. Mavericks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1760819
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Magic vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 122.5: 100%, Magic vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 121.5: 100%.
Magic vs. Mavericks
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
70% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: +10.0pp
70% → 80%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
80% YES (+10.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-5.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this