ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5
Share on X

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

72%YES
28%NO

Volume 24h

$218K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

52% / 69%

Spread

17.00pp

Expert Signal

72%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $218K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 72%. The bid-ask spread is 17.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844848

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Magic vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 122.5: 100%, Magic vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 121.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+10.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +11.5pp

50% → 61%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

61% YES (+11.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 72%99%
Buy YES@ 72¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 28¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this