ForecastMind
Markets/Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
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Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$11K

Liquidity

$9K

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1835685

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Win: 67%, Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5): 51%.

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

51%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-13.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

64% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Trough probability

51% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -13.0pp

64% → 51%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

51% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this