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Markets/Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
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Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$43K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1701235

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-49.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

33%

Mar 29, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -31.4pp

32% → 0%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this