Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
Closes April 15, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$271K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1975711
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+: 100%, Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5): 0%.
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
32% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: +26.5pp
52% → 78%
Apr 14, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 15, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this