Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
Closes April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
31% / 42%
Spread
11.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920698
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5): 100%, Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5: 28%, Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5): 22%.
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this