Markets/Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 08:24 PM UTC

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

85%YES

16%NO

Volume 24h

$291K

Liquidity

$529

Expert Signal

85%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+15.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 85%99%

Buy YES@ 85¢

Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.2%

½ Kelly1.6%

Buy NO@ 16¢

-3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $291K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677903

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