ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
Share on X

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

49% / 53%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515694

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5: 96%, Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5: 74%, Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5: 50%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

49% YES (-2.5pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this