ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Mavericks vs. Suns
Share on X

Mavericks vs. Suns

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

7%YES
93%NO

Volume 24h

$1.0M

Liquidity

$106K

Bid / Ask

33% / 34%

Spread

0.90pp

Expert Signal

7%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Mavericks vs. Suns" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Mavericks vs. Suns." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1829495

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5: 35%, Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5: 27%, Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5: 24%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

14% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Current

11% YES (-4.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 7%99%
Buy YES@ 7¢

-6.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 93¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly6.0%
½ Kelly3.0%
Buy NO+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 6.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this