ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Share on X

Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$2

Bid / Ask

0% / 98%

Spread

97.80pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 97.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1713349